UNLV
W-L: (21- 9) PR = 95.0001Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 64-51 1109 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) 85-78 1114 H Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 54-62 1118 H Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 81-94 1122 H Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 53-56 1126 A Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) 76-67 1128 A No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 62-56 1203 A Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 66-39 1206 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 50-75 1213 H Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 48-65 1217 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 61-60 1220 A New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 89-71 1231 A Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 85-59 103 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 64-58 107 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 69-58 110 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 82-53 114 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 78-50 114 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 78-50 117 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 66-75 121 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 78-47 124 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 62-57 128 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 57-68 207 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 71-60 211 H Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 72-82 214 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 74-65 218 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 62-80 221 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 81-64 228 A Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 68-54 304 A Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 76-47 308 A Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 79-65
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A Wash St 64-51 13 1 0.60
1109 A DePaul 85-78 7 1 0.56
1114 H Baylor 54-62 -8 -2 0.00
1118 H Montana St 81-94 -13 0 -1.87
1122 H Arizona St 53-56 -3 -1 -0.82
1126 A Creighton 76-67 9 0 + 2.03
1128 A No Iowa 62-56 6 1 1.28
1203 A Texas-SA 66-39 27 0 1.57
1206 H Rice 50-75 -25 -1 -0.97
1213 H Cincinnati 48-65 -17 0 - -2.25
1217 A Grand Canyon 61-60 1 1 0.14
1220 A New Mexico 89-71 18 0 1.67
1231 A Fresno St 85-59 26 1 0.66
103 A Air Force 64-58 6 1 0.75
107 A Utah State 69-58 11 3 0.00
110 A Wyoming 82-53 29 2 0.30
114 A San Jose St 78-50 28 3 0.00
114 A San Jose St 78-50 28 3 0.00
117 H San Diego St 66-75 -9 0 -1.53
121 A Air Force 78-47 31 1 0.75
124 A Nevada 62-57 5 2 0.25
128 H New Mexico 57-68 -11 0 - -2.35
207 A Utah State 71-60 11 3 0.00
211 H Wyoming 72-82 -10 2 - -3.72
214 A Grand Canyon 74-65 9 1 1.14
218 H San Diego St 62-80 -18 0 -1.53
221 A Nevada 81-64 17 2 0.25
228 A Fresno St 68-54 14 1 0.66
304 A Boise St 76-47 29 0 1.76
308 A Fresno St 79-65 14 1 0.66
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 H Cincinnati 48-65 -17 0 - -2.25 128 H New Mexico 57-68 -11 0 - -2.35 211 H Wyoming 72-82 -10 2 - -3.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 A Creighton 76-67 9 0 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 64-51 -6.31 4.65 0.01 1.01 9.43
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) 85-78 -6.35 4.61 0.01 1.01 9.35
3 H Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 54-62 -2.87 8.09 -0.01 1.01 -1.46
3 H Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 81-94 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.01 -2.41
3 H Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 53-56 -3.71 7.25 -0.01 1.01 -1.88
3 A Creighton (15-15, 95.0) 76-67 -4.88 6.08 0.01 1.01 12.32
3 A No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 62-56 -5.63 5.33 0.01 1.01 10.80
3 A Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 66-39 -5.34 5.62 0.01 1.01 11.40
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 50-75 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 1.01 -1.96
3 H Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 48-65 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 1.01 -2.61
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 61-60 -5.77 5.19 0.01 1.01 10.51
3 A New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 89-71 -5.24 5.72 0.01 1.01 11.59
3 A Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 85-59 -6.25 4.71 0.01 1.01 9.55
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 64-58 -6.16 4.80 0.01 1.01 9.74
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 69-58 -7.42 3.54 0.01 1.01 7.19
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 82-53 -6.61 4.35 0.01 1.01 8.83
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 78-50 -7.82 3.14 0.01 1.01 6.38
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 78-50 -7.82 3.14 0.01 1.01 6.38
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 66-75 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 1.01 -2.24
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 78-47 -6.16 4.80 0.01 1.01 9.74
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 62-57 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.01 8.71
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 57-68 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 1.01 -2.66
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 71-60 -7.42 3.54 0.01 1.01 7.19
3 H Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 72-82 -6.61 4.35 -0.01 1.01 -3.35
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 74-65 -5.77 5.19 0.01 1.01 10.51
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 62-80 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 1.01 -2.24
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 81-64 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.01 8.71
3 A Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 68-54 -6.25 4.71 0.01 1.01 9.55
3 A Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 76-47 -5.15 5.81 0.01 1.01 11.78
3 A Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 79-65 -6.25 4.71 0.01 1.01 9.55
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178.43
|
winning pts = 199.2291 losing points = -20.7943
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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